06/20/2023

Taking a Breather

The Fed still sees the need to raise rates and expects to keep the rates elevated level for some time.

06/19/2023

Moving beyond the inflation shock

In the US, rate-sensitive areas: housing, investment, manufacturing, and trade are slowing or contracting, while services have been more robust.

06/16/2023

Monthly letter: Balancing act

As we approach the second half of 2023, markets are pricing a benign path forward. Implied equity volatility is the lowest since the onset of the pandemic, and the S&P 500 is up 20% from October’s low.

06/09/2023

Gold can overcome near-term headwinds

As a result, gold has now fallen more than 5% from its recent peak in early May, when investors were more confident that the Fed had already finished its rate-hiking cycle.